This repository contains my project work for the Time Series Analysis course.
The project focuses on analyzing a univariate time series, selecting an appropriate ARIMA model, performing diagnostics, and generating forecasts using R.
- Trend and seasonality modeling
- Stationarity checks (ACF, PACF, differencing)
- Unit root testing (ADF)
- ARIMA model selection (AIC/BIC comparison)
- Residual diagnostics (Ljung–Box, normality tests)
- Forecasting with confidence intervals
- Model evaluation (MSE)
The repository includes:
- Clean and well‑commented R code, Python code
- Diagnostic plots and forecast visualizations in the PDF
- Model comparison tables and evaluation metrics in the PDF
- R
- RStudio
forecast,tseries,ggplot2, and other time‑series packages- Python
- This repository contains only my own project implementation and analysis.
- No confidential course materials or restricted content are included.
- All datasets used are those provided for the assignment or publicly accessible.